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@COMMENT{{Command line: /usr/bin/bib2bib -ob people_phil_goodwin.bib -c 'author: "Phil.*Goodwin"' ref.bib}}
@ARTICLE{CaiAtkGoo02,
author = {Sally Cairns and Stephen Atkins and Phil Goodwin},
title = {Disappearing traffic? {T}he story so far},
year = 2002,
journal = {Municipal Engineer},
volume = 151,
number = 1,
pages = {13--22},
keywords = {transport planning, streets, roadspace reallocation},
url = {http://www.ucl.ac.uk/transport-studies/tsu/disapp.pdf},
status = {read},
abstract = {
Reallocating roadspace from general traffic, to improve conditions
for pedestrians or cyclists or buses or on-street light rail or
other high-occupancy vehicles, is often predicted to cause
major traffic problems on neighbouring streets. This
paper reports on two phases of research, resulting in
the examination of over 70 case studies of roadspace
reallocation from eleven countries, and the collation
of opinions from over 200 transport professionals
worldwide. The findings suggest that predictions of
traffic problems are often unnecessarily alarmist, and
that, given appropriate local circumstances,
significant reductions in overall traffic levels can
occur, with people making a far wider range of
behavioural responses than has traditionally been
assumed. Follow-up work has also highlighted the
importance of managing how schemes are perceived by
the public and reported in the media, with various
lessons for avoiding problems. Finally, the
findings highlight that well-designed schemes to
reallocate roadspace can often contribute to a
multiplicity of different policy aims and
objectives.
}
}
@TECHREPORT{Goo95,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {The end of hierarchy? {A} new perspective of managing the road
network},
year = 1995,
institution = {Council for the Protecton of Rural England},
address = {London, UK},
keywords = {streets, transport planning}
}
@MISC{Goo97,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {Solving Congestion},
year = 1997,
howpublished = {Inaugural Lecture for the Professorship of Transport
Policy, University College London},
url = {http://www.cts.ucl.ac.uk/tsu/pbginau.htm},
status = {read},
keywords = {transport modelling, history, transport planning},
annote = {
A good overview of progress from the 1960s ``predict and provide''
approach to the current idea that road capacity is fundamentally a
policy decision.
}
}
@ARTICLE{Goo04,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {Congestion Charging in Central {L}ondon: Lessons Learned},
year = 2004,
month = DEC,
journal = {Planning Theory \& Practice},
volume = 5,
number = 4,
pages = {501--505},
keywords = {congestion pricing, urban politics, transport modelling},
status = {read},
annote = {
Some interesting analysis of the politics in this issue. Goodwin notes
that the
use of revenue from congestion charging is an essential part of any
scheme, in which ``the beneficiaries were as visible and influential as
the motorists who paid it'' even if the only goal is to reduce
congestion, not to raise revenue. In London's case, the revenue was
funneled to public transport improvements.
He also notes the implications for modelling: the traffic
reduction was at the upper end of the range estimated by models,
and the revenues from the scheme were hence lower than expected.
``This is not particular to road pricing: it is part of a general
reappraisal of establish transport modelling techniques, which have
a built-in tendency to underestimate the range and complexity of
the behaviour response to policy, which in turn causes an
overestimation of the benefits of infrastructure expansion, and an
underestimation of the benefits of demand management.'' In a
footnote, he adds that ``some of the earlier modelling work
had actually forecast a bigger effect, closer to what happened, but
this had been progressively revised downwards by the modelling
teams in order to produce robust, defensible, conservative
assessments.''
}
}
@ARTICLE{GooHasCai98,
author = {Phil Goodwin and Carmen Hass-Klau and Sally Cairns},
title = {Evidence on the Effects of Road Capacity Reductions on Traffic
Levels},
journal = {Traffic Engineering and Control},
volume = 39,
number = 6,
year = 1998,
month = JUN,
pages = {348--354},
keywords = {transport modelling, transport planning, roadspace reallocation},
status = {read}
}
@TECHREPORT{CaiSloNewAnaKirGoo04,
author = {Sally Cairns and L.~Sloman and C.~Newson and J.~Anable and
A.~Kirkbride and Phil Goodwin},
title = {Smarter Choices---Changing the Way We Travel},
year = 2004,
institution = {Department for Transport},
address = {London, UK},
keywords = {transportation demand management}
}
@ARTICLE{Goo89,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {The `Rule of Three': A Possible Solution to the Political
Problem of Competing Objectives for Road Pricing.},
year = 1989,
month = OCT,
journal = {Traffic Engineering and Control},
volume = 30,
number = 10,
keywords = {congestion pricing}
}
@ARTICLE{Goo92,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {A review of demand elasticities with special reference to
short and long run effects of price changes},
year = 1992,
journal = {Journal of Transport Economics and Policy},
volume = 26,
number = 2,
pages = {155--169},
keywords = {transport planning}
}
@ARTICLE{Goo96,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {Empirical Evidence on Induced Traffic},
year = 1996,
journal = {Transportation},
volume = 23,
number = 1,
pages = {35--54},
keywords = { induced travel, land use transport link }
}
@INCOLLECTION{Goo98,
author = {Phil Goodwin},
title = {The End of Equilibrium},
year = 1998,
booktitle = {Theoretical Foundations of Travel Choice Modelling},
editor = {T.~G{\aa}rling and T.~Laitila and K.~Westin},
publisher = {Pergamon Press},
address = {Oxford, UK},
keywords = {transport modelling}
}
@ARTICLE{GooDarHan04,
author = {Phil Goodwin and J.~Dargay and M.~Hanly},
title = {Elasticities of road traffic and fuel consumption with respect
to price and income: a review},
year = 2004,
journal = {Transport Reviews},
volume = 24,
number = 3,
pages = {275--292},
keywords = {transport modelling}
}
@ARTICLE{GooNol03,
author = {Phil Goodwin and Robert B.~Nolan},
title = {Building new roads really does create extra traffic: a
response to {P}rakesh et al.},
year = 2003,
month = SEP,
journal = {Applied Economics},
volume = 35,
number = 13,
abstract = {
A recent article by Prakash et al. (Applied Economics, 33, 1579-85,
2001) asserted that induced travel effects do not occur.
This paper is criticized on several grounds. It disregards much
of the recent work in this area that has empirically estimated
induced travel relationships. The models specified are
inappropriate for properly addressing this question, both in
their use of road expenditure data (based on a misunderstanding
of how this may relate to traffic growth) and
specification of a model that does not account for other
variables that generally have a large effect on traffic growth
(notably population and income growth). The evidence in the
literature is summarized and an analysis of UK road expenditure
data shows that expenditure is not a good measure of actual
road capacity that is built.
},
keywords = { transport planning, urban planning }
}
@ARTICLE{HasCaiGoo98,
author = {Carmen Hass-Klau and Sally Cairns and Phil Goodwin},
title = {Better use of road capacity: what happens to the traffic?},
journal = {Public Transport International},
year = 1998,
month = SEP,
volume = 47,
number = 5,
keywords = {transport modelling, transport planning}
}
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